Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.