Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.