Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.99%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.