Poland national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 6, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Moldova national football team

Poland
2 - 0
Moldova

Cash (30'), Slisz (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Motpan (38'), Ionita (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Malta
Monday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
All competitions
Last Game: Moldova 2-3 Estonia
Tuesday, March 25 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poland win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw has a probability of 22.7% and a win for Moldova has a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Moldova win it is 0-1 (5.94%).

Result
PolandDrawMoldova
59.85% (0.76 0.76)22.67% (-0.424 -0.42)17.48% (-0.34 -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.37% (0.623 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (1.172 1.17)49.94% (-1.177 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (1.036 1.04)71.93% (-1.039 -1.04)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (0.673 0.67)16.3% (-0.677 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (1.212 1.21)45.88% (-1.215 -1.22)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8% (0.28 0.28)42.2% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.39% (0.24 0.24)78.6% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Poland 59.83%
    Moldova 17.48%
    Draw 22.66%
PolandDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 11.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.166 0.17)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.132 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.072 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 59.83%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 17.48%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Poland
1-1
Moldova
Swiderski (53')
Frankowski (46')
Nicolaescu (25')
Reabciuk (17'), Cojocaru (21'), Postolachi (42'), Marandici (45+4'), Platica (82'), Railean (85')
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Moldova
3-2
Poland
Nicolaescu (48', 79'), Baboglo (85')
Baboglo (51'), Nicolaescu (81'), Railean (90'), Reabciuk (90+2')
Milik (12'), Lewandowski (34')
rhs 2.0


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