Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
