Nashville
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
New York Red Bulls

Nashville
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Yazbek (34', 34'), Williams (63', 63')
Qasem (79'), Qasem (79'), Surridge (86'), Surridge (86'), Lovitz (90+5'), Lovitz (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (56', 56')
Javier Valencia Arauz (36'), Javier Valencia Arauz (36'), Harper (73'), Harper (73'), Edwards (83'), Edwards (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 7-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew York Red Bulls
57.2% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)22.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)20.79% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.22% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)42.35% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)64.76% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)14.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)42.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (0.065999999999988 0.07)34.18% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (0.07 0.07)70.87% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 57.2%
    New York Red Bulls 20.79%
    Draw 22%
Nashville SCDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36%
3-0 @ 5.93% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06%
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 57.2%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Nashville vs NY Red Bulls

Nashville SC
70.0%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-0
Nashville
Sofo (7'), Forsberg (30')
Javier Valencia Arauz (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (57'), Eile (90+3')

Yazbek (59'), Zimmerman (67')
> Preview
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Nashville
Schwarz (32'), Eile (40'), Edelman (75')
Bauer (32')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2024 10pm
Nashville
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Davis (26'), Anunga (73'), Godoy (90+5')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Nashville
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Picault (45+3')
Tolkin (90+4' pen.)
Reyes (39'), Amaya (45+1'), Nealis (45+6'), Duncan (70')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Nashville
> Preview