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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

New York City
Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Montreal Impact

NY City
0 - 1
Montreal


Haak (44'), Haak (44'), Ilencic (90'), Ilencic (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osei Owusu (48', 48')
Piette (39'), Piette (39'), Waterman (87'), Waterman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

All competitions
Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawCF Montreal
56.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)21.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 57.89% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)40.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)62.92% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.08% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.31% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.62% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (-0.012 -0.01)69.16% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 56.88%
    CF Montreal 21.34%
    Draw 21.76%
New York City FCDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.88%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: NY City vs Montreal

New York City FC
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
CF Montreal
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 11pm
Montreal
2-0
NY City
Clark (18'), Martinez (45+1')
Clark (59'), Waterman (88')

Haak (7'), Parks (69'), Risa (90')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-0
Montreal
Martinez (9', 56')
Sands (90+3')

Campbell (52')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
NY City
2-0
Montreal
Jasson (30'), Bakrar (37')
Perea (58')

Waterman (45')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 2.03am
Montreal
0-1
NY City

Lassiter (30')
Pellegrini (33')
Pellegrini (29'), Ilencic (64'), Rodriguez (85')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 6pm
Conference Semi-Finals
Montreal
1-3
NY City
Mihailovic (85')
Moralez (6'), Heber (45+3'), Magno (61' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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