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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
39.67% | 25.42% | 34.91% |
Both teams to score 56.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.23% | 47.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.04% | 69.96% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% | 23.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% | 57.98% |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% | 26.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.4% | 61.61% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.67% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |