Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Soldier Field
USA national football team

Mexico
2 - 0
USA

Jimenez (22', 22'), Huerta (49', 49')
Aguirre (26'), Aguirre (26'), Zendejas (75'), Zendejas (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Morris (34'), Morris (34'), Alvarez (75'), Alvarez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Mexico and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Canada
Wednesday, September 11 at 2am in International Friendlies

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawUSA
26.4% (-0.17 -0.17)26.27% (0.292 0.29)47.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.992 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (-1.224 -1.22)54.67% (1.222 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (-1.027 -1.03)76% (1.024 1.02)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)35.94% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.28% (-0.829 -0.83)72.71% (0.82599999999999 0.83)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.577 -0.58)23.1% (0.574 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.853 -0.85)56.95% (0.85100000000001 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 26.4%
    USA 47.32%
    Draw 26.26%
MexicoDrawUSA
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.217 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 26.4%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.3% (0.387 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 12.16% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.32%

How you voted: Mexico vs USA

Mexico
33.3%
Draw
29.8%
USA
36.9%
84
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2024 1.15am
Final
Mexico
0-2
USA

Vasquez (55'), Alvarez (58'), Uriel (63'), Gimenez (74')
Adams (45'), Reyna (63')
McKennie (27')
> Preview
Jun 16, 2023 3am
Semi-Finals
USA
3-0
Mexico
Pulisic (37', 46'), Pepi (78')
Robinson (60'), Robinson (63'), Richards (86'), Pulisic (89')
McKennie (71'), Dest (85')

Uriel (36'), Reyes (59'), Gimenez (60'), Alvarez (85'), Ochoa (86')
Montes (69'), Arteaga (85')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2023 3am
Friendlies 1
USA
1-1
Mexico
Ferreira (81')
Uriel (55')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2022 2am
Third Round
Mexico
0-0
USA
> Preview
Nov 13, 2021 2.10am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Mexico
Pulisic (74'), McKennie (85')
Robinson (59'), Steffen (68'), McKennie (68')
Robinson (89')

Romo (45+1'), Rodriguez (68')
> Preview