Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Algarve
Larne

Lincoln
2 - 1
Larne

Gomez (23'), Oliver (42')
Munoz Benavides (31'), De Barr (38'), Britto (55'), Torilla (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lusty (16')
Gallagher (26'), Sloan (64')
Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Lincoln Red Imps and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln Red Imps

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Larne

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larne 0-1 KF Ballkani (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, August 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln Red Imps win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Larne had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln Red Imps would win this match.

Result
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawLarne
40.82% (-2.587 -2.59)26.18% (0.131 0.13)32.99% (2.453 2.45)
Both teams to score 53.06% (0.52 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.24299999999999 0.24)51.42% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.211 0.21)73.23% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-1.196 -1.2)24.85% (1.194 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (-1.692 -1.69)59.44% (1.69 1.69)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (1.784 1.78)29.39% (-1.786 -1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (2.132 2.13)65.37% (-2.135 -2.14)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln Red Imps 40.82%
    Larne 32.99%
    Draw 26.18%
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawLarne
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.584 -0.58)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.397 -0.4)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.82%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.347 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.403 0.4)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.466 0.47)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.306 0.31)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.289 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.99%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Larne

Lincoln Red Imps
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Larne
18.2%
11