Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 2
Nice

Chotard (22'), Sainte-Luce (80')
Nzingoula (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Laborde (17'), Bouanani (28')
Bouanani (34'), Clauss (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Nice
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nice
30.64% ( -0.02)	25.24% ( 0.02)	44.12% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.23% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

-0.1)

48.2% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.65% (

-0.09)

70.35% (

0.1)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

-0.06)

29.35% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

-0.08)

65.33% (

0.08)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17% (

-0.05)

21.83% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95% (

-0.07)

55.05% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 30.64%

Nice 44.12%

Draw 25.23%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.64%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.12%