Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
37.53% (![]() | 23.8% (![]() | 38.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.13% (![]() | 39.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% (![]() | 62.23% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% (![]() | 21.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.63% (![]() | 54.37% (![]() |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.18% (![]() | 20.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% (![]() | 53.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
2-1 @ 8.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 10.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.46% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |