Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Le Havre

Montpellier
0 - 2
Le Havre


Khazri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kechta (3'), Toure (33')
Gorgelin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLe Havre
37.53% (-0.357 -0.36)23.8% (0.203 0.2)38.67% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 62.25% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.13% (-1.018 -1.02)39.87% (1.022 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.78% (-1.063 -1.06)62.23% (1.068 1.07)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (-0.625 -0.63)21.38% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63% (-0.975 -0.98)54.37% (0.979 0.98)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.366 -0.37)20.83% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.583 -0.58)53.5% (0.588 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 37.53%
    Le Havre 38.67%
    Draw 23.79%
Montpellier HSCDrawLe Havre
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.3% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.53%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.208 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.67%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Le Havre

Montpellier HSC
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Le Havre
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 10
Le Havre
1-0
Montpellier
Toure (73' pen.)
Lloris (31'), Salmier (46')

Ferri (35')
Mar 31, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 27
Le Havre
0-2
Montpellier

Nego (31'), Casimir (70')
Ferri (72'), Jullien (80')
Omeragic (70'), Sagnan (70')
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Montpellier
2-2
Le Havre
Adams (58', 60')
Jullien (48')
Lloris (5'), Grandsir (90')
Sangante (55'), Targhalline (65')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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