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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 7, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St James' Park
Arsenal logo
Newcastle
vs.
Arsenal
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Newcastle United.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Chelsea
Tuesday, May 2 at 8pm in Premier League

We say: Newcastle United 2-2 Arsenal

Newcastle's efforts to frustrate Arsenal away from home worked a treat in January, but with concerns over both of the Gunners' first-choice centre-backs, Howe's men should adopt a forward-thinking approach to trouble a porous visiting defence. However, the Magpies are not the same rearguard force they were in the earlier stages of the season, and we expect Arsenal to right the wrongs of last year's Tyneside trip to glean a point, albeit one that may force them to kiss their title hopes goodbye. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 31.62% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawArsenal
43.91% (1.457 1.46) 24.47% (0.189 0.19) 31.62% (-1.645 -1.65)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-1.33 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.62% (-1.458 -1.46)44.37% (1.46 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.25% (-1.429 -1.43)66.75% (1.43 1.43)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (0.046000000000006 0.05)20.33% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (0.07 0.07)52.72% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-1.71 -1.71)26.8% (1.712 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-2.309 -2.31)62.09% (2.31 2.31)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 43.91%
    Arsenal 31.62%
    Draw 24.47%
Newcastle UnitedDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.548 0.55)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.091 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.241 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.337 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.62%

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle and Arsenal?

Newcastle United
Draw
Arsenal
Newcastle United
36.9%
Draw
18.5%
Arsenal
44.6%
65

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
May 16, 2022 8pm
gameweek 37
Newcastle
2-0
Arsenal
White (55' og.), Guimaraes (85')

White (8'), Nketiah (46'), Xhaka (90+5')
Nov 27, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 13
Arsenal
2-0
Newcastle
Saka (56'), Martinelli (66')
Aubameyang (76')

Ritchie (44'), Krafth (48'), Lascelles (63')
May 2, 2021 2pm
gameweek 34
Newcastle
0-2
Arsenal
Elneny (5'), Aubameyang (66')
Xhaka (20'), Almiron (31'), Fernandez (62')
Schar (90')
Jan 18, 2021 8pm
gameweek 19
Arsenal
3-0
Newcastle
Aubameyang (50', 77'), Saka (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City33254487305779
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool34178966422459
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs34166126357654
8Aston Villa34166124642454
9Brentford34121485244850
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Crystal Palace341010143545-1040
12Chelsea33109143138-739
13Bournemouth34116173664-2839
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34107172950-2137
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3479184367-2430
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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