

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 38.73% ( | 24.32% ( | 36.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( | 42.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( | 64.87% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( | 21.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.78% ( | 55.21% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( | 22.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.43% ( | 56.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Port Vale | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 76 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 73 |
| 3 | Walsall | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 72 |
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 72 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 69 |
| 6 | Notts County | 42 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 68 |
| 7 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 66 |
| 8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 65 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 62 |
| 10 | Salford City | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 62 |
| 11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 61 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 66 | 61 | 5 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 56 |
| 14 | Bromley | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 56 |
| 15 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 55 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 47 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 46 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 46 |
| 21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 44 |
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 43 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 37 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 42 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 36 |
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