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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Barnsley |
| 44.8% ( | 23.81% ( | 31.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( | 41.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.18% ( | 63.82% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( | 18.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.86% ( | 50.13% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( | 25.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.64% ( | 60.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.8% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.39% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 |
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 |
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 |
| P | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 |
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 |
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 |
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 |
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 |
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 |
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 |
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 |
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 |
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 |
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 |
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 |
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
