League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton2 - 0Port Vale
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Port Vale
Bolton head into this game as the clear favourites, boasting more than double Port Vale's points tally this season. The hosts have not lost in this fixture since a 6-3 defeat in December 2020, and we expect them to continue that unbeaten run with a victory here, in a must-win match for both sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 10.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
73.65% ( 0.04) | 16% ( -0.02) | 10.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
