Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
58.56% | 24.21% | 17.24% |
Both teams to score 43.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% | 56.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.84% | 77.16% |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% | 19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.44% | 50.56% |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.86% | 46.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.17% | 81.83% |
Score Analysis |
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
1-0 @ 14.55% 2-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 5.18% 4-0 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 2% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.54% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.78% 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.42% Total : 17.24% |
How you voted: St Patrick's vs Drogheda
Lennon (22'), Desmond (83')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 16 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Derry CityDerry | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 52 |
3 | DundalkDundalk | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 50 |
4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Sligo RoversSligo | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 41 |
6 | Bohemians | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 36 |
7 | Shelbourne | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 33 |
8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 31 |
9 | Finn HarpsFinn Harps | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 18 |
10 | University College DublinUCD | 28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 56 | -37 | 16 |
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