World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 25, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Japan
vs.
Saudi Arabia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 2-0 Bahrain
Thursday, March 20 at 10.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. Japan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 China
Thursday, March 20 at 6.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Bahrain vs. Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it is 1-2 (4.35%).

Result
Japan	Draw	Saudi Arabia
65.52% ( 2.04)	19.06% ( -0.9)	15.42% ( -1.14)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Japan	Draw	Saudi Arabia
2-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.22) Other @ 4.53% Total : 65.51%	1-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.06%	1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.14% Total : 15.42%