Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.