Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Hapoel Katamon win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashdod would win this match.