Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Honduras

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Bermuda 1-6 Honduras
Monday, June 10 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

There is a considerable gap in quality between these two nations, as Ecuador are among South America's top teams and Honduras failed to even qualify for a guest spot at the Copa America. Though El Tri might decide to preserve some of their best players for the upcoming tournament, they should make light work of opponents that have only beaten minnows in 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Honduras
43.86% ( 0.1)	26.33% ( 0.09)	29.81% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 51.32% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.93% (

-0.45)

53.08% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.34% (

-0.38)

74.66% (

0.38)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

-0.15)

24.05% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67% (

-0.21)

58.33% (

0.21)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58% (

-0.37)

32.42% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06% (

-0.42)

68.94% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 43.86%

Honduras 29.81%

Draw 26.32%

Ecuador	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.86%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.81%