Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 70.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 10.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.78%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
