Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 15, 2025 at 3.15am UK
SoFi Stadium
Dominican Republic national football team

Mexico
3 - 2
Dominican Rep.

Alvarez (44'), Jimenez (47'), Montes (53')
Quinones (90+5'), Gallardo (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Peter (51'), Azcona (67')
Morschel (65'), Carlos Lopez (77'), Japa (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Mexico and Dominican Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-1 Panama
Monday, March 24 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Mexico vs. Switzerland
Saturday, June 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Dominican Republic

All competitions
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-0 Puerto Rico
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Guatemala vs. Dominican Rep.
Saturday, June 7 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Dominican Republic has a probability of 25.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win is 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result
MexicoDrawDominican Republic
49.62%24.72%25.66%
Both teams to score 53.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97%49.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89%71.11%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22%19.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16%51.84%
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49%33.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85%70.15%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 49.61%
    Dominican Republic 25.66%
    Draw 24.72%
MexicoDrawDominican Republic
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.66%