FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stevenage
4 - 3
Tranmere
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Stevenage and Tranmere Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Derby
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Tranmere
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 56.77% | 23.44% | 19.78% |
| Both teams to score 50% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
