FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Norwich
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wycombe 3-2 Bristol Rovers
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol Rovers
As efficient as Bristol Rovers have been in the attacking third during the winter period, their defensive deficiencies continue to bedevil them and ought to be exposed by a Norwich crop aiming to right a few wrongs this weekend. Wagner should not be averse to making a few alterations to his pack, who will likely be faced with a three-man Pirates wall, but we still expect the Canaries to prevail with ease. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 51.61% | 22.95% | 25.43% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
