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FA Cup

Maidenhead United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
York Road
Crawley Town

Maidenhead
1 - 2
Crawley

McCoulsky (64')
Ferguson (90'), Latty-Fairweather (90+9'), De Havilland (114'), Pettit (114')
FT
(aet)
Mullarkey (90+5'), Showunmi (116')
Ibrahim (90+9'), Ibrahim (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Maidenhead United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%).

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawCrawley Town
28.73% (-0.243 -0.24)23.26% (-0.112 -0.11)48% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 60.84% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (0.373 0.37)40.3% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (0.383 0.38)62.67% (-0.386 -0.39)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.66% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (0.276 0.28)17.04% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (0.487 0.49)47.2% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 28.73%
    Crawley Town 48%
    Draw 23.25%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.73%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.55% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 48%

How you voted: Maidenhead vs Crawley

Maidenhead United
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Crawley Town
64.3%
14