Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 38.86% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.03%) and 3-1 (4.78%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.