Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
