Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
