Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
