Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
