Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 57.47%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 3-1 (6.91%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
