Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Wanderers0 - 1Danubio
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Wanderers
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Danubio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
32.28% ( 0.2) | 28.43% ( -0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.84% ( 0.21) | 60.16% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.64% ( 0.16) | 80.36% ( -0.16) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.25) | 34.34% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.96% ( 0.27) | 71.04% ( -0.27) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.02) | 29.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.1% ( 0.02) | 65.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers 32.28%
Danubio 39.27%
Draw 28.42%
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 39.27% |
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 13
Wanderers
3-0
Danubio
Fonseca (2'), Suarez (88'), Ferreira (90')
Albarracin (24'), Garcia (30'), Fonseca (78')
Albarracin (24'), Garcia (30'), Fonseca (78')
Etchebarne (44')
Jun 3, 2023 9.30pm
Apr 29, 2023 2pm
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
Apr 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Danubio
0-0
Wanderers
Navarro (16'), Vicente (39'), Rea (60'), Olivera (84')
Navarro (40')
Navarro (40')
Mendez (32'), Figueredo (69'), Veglio (73')
