MX23RW : Wednesday, May 3 22:50:24| >> :600:16199713:16199713:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 17, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
Caracas
0 - 0
The Strongest

Fereira (68')
FT

Cascini (40'), Jusino (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Caracas and The Strongest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Athletico PR 5-1 Caracas
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: The Strongest vs. Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Caracas 1-1 The Strongest

Having a shot at qualifying for the knockout stage of this competition is an unfamiliar feeling for both Caracas and The Strongest, so we anticipate a nervy affair given what is at stake. Experience would favour the Bolivians, though Los Rojos del Avila have been stellar defensively on their home field, so expect to see a stalemate when these two sides face off on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CaracasDrawThe Strongest
51.39% (-0.469 -0.47) 25.89% (0.179 0.18) 22.72% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 46.86% (-0.175 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-0.4 -0.4)56.02% (0.395 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (-0.326 -0.33)77.11% (0.321 0.32)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.366 -0.37)21.86% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (-0.556 -0.56)55.1% (0.55 0.55)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (0.055 0.05)40.02% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (0.049000000000003 0.05)76.67% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 51.39%
    The Strongest 22.72%
    Draw 25.89%
CaracasDrawThe Strongest
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: Caracas vs The Strongest

Caracas
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
The Strongest
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2022 3am
The Strongest
1-1
Caracas
Prost (34')
Saucedo (61'), Arrascaita (90+1')
Akinyoola (83')
Castillo (44'), Fereira (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City33254487305779
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd32196749391063
5Liverpool34178966422459
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs34166126357654
7Aston Villa34166124642454
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31157961402152
9Brentford34121485244850
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Crystal Palace341010143545-1040
12Chelsea33109143138-739
13Bournemouth34116173664-2839
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34107172950-2137
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3479184367-2430
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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