MX23RW : Thursday, August 22 00:04:16| >> :600:106591:106591:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV
San Lorenzo

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

Battaglia (65')
Otavio (48'), Franco (74'), Scarpa (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Jesus Baez Sotelo (34'), Tripichio (37'), Campi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-2 San Lorenzo
Sunday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 San Lorenzo (Atletico Mineiro advance 2-1 on aggregate)

Like the first leg, we anticipate another close encounter between these sides, but ultimately, we have more confidence in the overall quality of Mineiro than San Lorenzo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSan Lorenzo
59.83% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.61% (-0.023 -0.02) 15.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.25% (0.055 0.05)59.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.95% (0.041 0.04)80.04% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.031999999999996 0.03)19.93% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (0.056999999999995 0.06)52.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.42% (0.017999999999994 0.02)50.58% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.94% (0.013 0.01)85.06% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 59.82%
    San Lorenzo 15.56%
    Draw 24.61%
Atletico MineiroDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 16.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.11%
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 59.82%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 10.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.05% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.78%
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.56%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs San Lorenzo

Atletico Mineiro
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
San Lorenzo
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
San Lorenzo
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Cuello (17')
Cuello (18'), de Jesus Baez Sotelo (56')
Paulinho (58')
May 9, 2018 1.45am
First Stage
Atletico Mineiro
0-0
San Lorenzo
Maidana (19'), Andrade (55')
Gudino (13'), Mercier (35'), Reniero (43'), Botta (45'), Senesi (45'), Piris (62')
Apr 11, 2018 11.15pm
First Stage
San Lorenzo
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Gudino (39')
Piris (59')

Blanco (64'), Bremer (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton11003033
2Liverpool11002023
3Manchester CityMan City11002023
4Arsenal11002023
5Brentford11002113
6Aston Villa11002113
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle11001013
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd11001013
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs10101101
10Leicester CityLeicester10101101
11Bournemouth10101101
12Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10101101
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham100112-10
14Crystal Palace100112-10
15Fulham100101-10
16Southampton100101-10
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100102-20
18Ipswich TownIpswich100102-20
19Chelsea100102-20
20Everton100103-30


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!