Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo3 - 2Liverpool
Leguizamon (5'), Cuello (45+5'), Campi (87')
Irala (32'), Cuello (42'), Barrios (50'), Leguizamon (51'), Ferreira (90+6')
Irala (32'), Cuello (42'), Barrios (50'), Leguizamon (51'), Ferreira (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
19
We said: San Lorenzo 1-0 Liverpool
This affair is setting up to be a close one as both sides are level on points and have struggled to find the net. However, home advantage could tip the scale for San Lorenzo here as Liverpool did not perform well in their only away game so far. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Liverpool |
50.51% ( 0.61) | 26.45% ( 0.3) | 23.04% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 45.69% ( -1.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
