Alianza Lima
2 - 2
Estudiantes
Arroe (3'), Rubio (90+6')
Espinoza (34'), Rubio (53'), Duclos (84')
Espinoza (34'), Rubio (53'), Duclos (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rivas (35' pen., 67' pen.)
Lobo (24'), Rivas (39'), Plazas (53'), Araque (80')
Lobo (24'), Rivas (39'), Plazas (53'), Araque (80')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Estudiantes Merida.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Lima | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
| 39.91% | 27.05% | 33.04% |
| Both teams to score 50.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
