Congo DR national football team
Friendlies 3 | 2nd Leg
Jun 5, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade de la Source
Mali national football team

Congo DR
1 - 0
Mali

Essende (27')
(27'), (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Congo DR and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 0-2 Congo DR
Tuesday, March 25 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Mali

All competitions
Last Game: CAR 0-0 Mali
Monday, March 24 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 34.89%. A win for Congo DR has a probability of 34.11% and a draw has a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Congo DR win is 1-0 (13.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (13.74%).

Result
Congo DRDrawMali
34.11% (-0.883 -0.88)30.99% (0.314 0.31)34.89% (0.566 0.57)
Both teams to score 39.59% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.91% (-0.919 -0.92)68.09% (0.91399999999999 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14% (-0.614 -0.61)85.99% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-1.135 -1.14)37.35% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.86% (-1.136 -1.14)74.13% (1.13 1.13)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.114 -0.11)36.8% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.115 -0.11)73.58% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Congo DR 34.1%
    Mali 34.89%
    Draw 30.99%
Congo DRDrawMali
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 34.1%
0-0 @ 13.74% (0.46 0.46)
1-1 @ 13.53%
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.99%
0-1 @ 13.74% (0.42 0.42)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 34.89%

Head to Head
Jun 11, 2021 4pm
Friendlies 3
Congo DR
1-1
Mali
Coulibaly (3')
Jan 28, 2013 5pm
Group Stage
Congo DR
1-1
Mali
Mbokani
Samassa
> Live Commentary
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Tables header RHS
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