Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.