Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.