The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 AC Milan
Atletico have lost the defensive resilience that made them so formidable under Simeone, but with Griezmann and Suarez linking up in the final third, a depleted Milan rearguard could be in for a long evening. Both sides have under-performed in this season's tournament, but Atletico have proven a tough proposition at home for most sides in recent weeks and will look to boost their chances of a top-two finish at the expense of the Rossoneri's. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | AC Milan |
| 48.08% | 26.08% | 25.83% |
| Both teams to score 49.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
