Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.