MX23RW : Tuesday, May 30 11:34:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hertha Berlin logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Schalke
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Koln logo
Mainz
5 - 0
FC Koln
Ingvartsen (11' pen.), Kohr (35'), Stach (40'), Caricol (73'), Onisiwo (84')
Kohr (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kilian (10'), Uth (35'), Soldo (50'), Martel (72')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Lubeck 0-3 Mainz
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

FC Koln

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Augsburg
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 FC Koln

 There is very little to split these two sides - who have both hugely improved in the last 18 months or so - and as such we can envisage a share of the spoils on Friday. Although the incentive of moving up to a top-four position may spur both teams on to go for the win, neither are likely to be too disappointed with avoiding defeat in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
36.34% (0.061000000000007 0.06) 25.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 38.24% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)47.62% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)69.82% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.39% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.49% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)58.95% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 36.34%
    FC Koln 38.24%
    Draw 25.42%
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.24%

How you voted: Mainz vs FC Koln

Mainz 05
51.2%
Draw
25.0%
FC Koln
23.8%
164
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
FC Koln
3-2
Mainz 05
Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
> Preview
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
FC Koln
2-3
Mainz 05
Duda (43' pen.), Skhiri (61')
Duda (22'), Katterbach (34')
Boetius (11'), Onisiwo (65'), Barreiro (90+1')
Mwene (42')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
0-1
FC Koln

Niakhate (37'), Latza (45+1'), Onisiwo (67'), Stoger (75')
Rexhbecaj (55')
Ozcan (70'), Duda (75'), Horn (81')
Duda (76')
May 17, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Mainz 05
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Result
Andreeva
Riske-Amritraj
6 6
2 1
Result
Wang
Bouzkova
6 77
4 65
10.10am
Jarry
Dellien
Result
Peterson
Ferro
6 6
2 0
Result
Paul
Stricker
6 6 6
3 2 4
10.10am
Nishioka
Wolf
Result
Kalinina
Parry
2 3
6 6
Result
Ymer
Ruud
4 3 2
6 6 6
10.15am
Purcell
Thompson
10.15am
Mpetshi Perricard
Alberto Olivieri
10.15am
Vavassori
Kecmanovic
Result
Bronzetti
Jabeur
4 1
6 6
11.30am
Danilovic
Baindl
11.30am
Bublik
Zeppieri
11.30am
Gaston
Molcan
11.30am
Zverev
Harris
12pm
Rus
Grabher
12pm
Noskova
Kovinic
12pm
Janicijevic
Dodin
12pm
Tsurenko
Krejcikova
12pm
Zhu
Davis
12pm
Masarova
Gauff
12.15pm
Seyboth Wild
Medvedev
1.30pm
Cerundolo
Munar
1.30pm
Cirstea
Paolini
1.30pm
Burel
Sorribes Tormo
1.30pm
Ruusuvuori
Barrere
1.30pm
Halys
Pella
1.30pm
Monteiro
Hanfmann
1.30pm
Rune
Eubanks
1.30pm
Rybakina
Fruhvirtova
2.15pm
Swiatek
Bucsa
3pm
Skatov
Dimitrov
3pm
Mmoh
Fritz
3pm
Gasquet
Rinderknech
3.30pm
In-Albon
Liu
3.30pm
Martic
Rogers
3.30pm
Andreeva
Navarro
3.30pm
Azarenka
Andreescu
7.15pm
Monfils
Baez
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
> Bundesliga Full Table
Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative
Media Mole RHS news promo
Holly Willoughby describes Phillip Schofield's affair lie as "very hurtful"
Holly Willoughby describes Phillip Schofield's affair lie as "very hurtful"
ITV confirms internal investigation over Phillip Schofield affair in 2020
ITV confirms internal investigation over Phillip Schofield affair in 2020
Esther Rantzen reveals cancer is now at stage four
Esther Rantzen reveals cancer is now at stage four
Beauty clinic owner Jess Harding 'in lineup for Love Island'
Beauty clinic owner Jess Harding 'in lineup for Love Island'
Katie Price 'filming documentary about journey to having sixth child'
Katie Price 'filming documentary about journey to having sixth child'

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!