Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12 | 2nd Leg
Jun 12, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Santos

Fortaleza
vs.
Santos

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 5-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Santos

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-1 Botafogo
Sunday, June 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Santos has a probability of 27.72% and a draw has a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest Santos win is 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
FortalezaDrawSantos
44.6% (-0.85 -0.85)27.68% (0.418 0.42)27.72% (0.433 0.43)
Both teams to score 46.23% (-0.869 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.97% (-1.247 -1.25)59.03% (1.248 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51% (-0.978 -0.98)79.49% (0.977 0.98)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.99799999999999 -1)26.36% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-1.349 -1.35)61.51% (1.349 1.35)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.325 -0.33)37.22% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26% (-0.325 -0.33)74% (0.32499999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 44.6%
    Santos 27.72%
    Draw 27.67%
FortalezaDrawSantos
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 44.6%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.454 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.366 0.37)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.72%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Santos
1-2
Fortaleza
Messias (58')
Dodo (3'), Inocencio (52')
Marinho (39'), Martin Lucero (90+6')
Pochettino (26'), Welison (35'), Pikachu (40')
Aug 13, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 19
Fortaleza
4-0
Santos
Machuca (58'), Basso (80' og.), Alexandre (83'), Pacheco (90+1')
Machuca (18'), Titi (41')

Fernandez (38')
Nov 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Santos
0-2
Fortaleza
Galhardo (67'), Moises (85')
Jul 24, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 19
Fortaleza
0-0
Santos
Marcelo (45+2'), Capixaba (81'), Galhardo (83'), Crispim (90+1')
Leonardo (38'), Fernandez (55'), Gabriel (58'), Eduardo (83')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 35
Santos
2-0
Fortaleza
Leonardo (71' pen., 90')
Zanocelo (39'), Leonardo (72'), Guilherme (79')

Pikachu (21'), Marcelo (38')
> Preview