Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
