Ayr United
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Play-offs - Quarter-finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Partick Thistle

Ayr
0 - 2
Partick


Dempsey (63'), Henderson (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Graham (6', 88')
Graham (90'), Graham (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Ayr United and Partick Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Partick 0-1 Ayr
Tuesday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Partick 0-1 Ayr
Tuesday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Partick Thistle win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawPartick Thistle
51.73% (-0.136 -0.14)24.55% (0.23 0.23)23.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.829 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-1.041 -1.04)49.99% (1.035 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-0.935 -0.94)71.97% (0.929 0.93)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (-0.458 -0.46)19.31% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (-0.754 -0.75)51.06% (0.748 0.75)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)35.71% (0.655 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-0.684 -0.68)72.48% (0.679 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 51.73%
    Partick Thistle 23.71%
    Draw 24.54%
Ayr UnitedDrawPartick Thistle
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 51.73%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.285 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Ayr vs Partick

Ayr United
77.1%
Draw
2.9%
Partick Thistle
20.0%
35
Head to Head
May 6, 2025 7.45pm
Play-offs - Quarter-finals 1st Leg
Partick
0-1
Ayr

Fitzpatrick (7'), Turner (24'), Graham (45+4'), Graham (45+4'), Crawford (45'), O'Reilly (83')
Murphy (55')
Oakley (19'), Agbaire (78'), Henderson (90+2'), Clarke (90+3')
Mar 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 29
Partick
2-0
Ayr
Chalmers (19'), McBeth (27')
Crawford (12'), Turner (36'), Reid (43'), Bannigan (81'), McBeth (85')

McKinnon (51')
Jan 25, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ayr
2-1
Partick
Oakley (19', 36')
Oakley (3')
McAllister (76')
Milne (87')
Crawford (7'), Bannigan (72')
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Partick
1-0
Ayr
Turner (82' pen.)

Musonda (31'), Devlin (39'), Stanger (54'), Rus (71'), Oakley (88')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
1-1
Partick
Dowds (25' pen.)
Oakley (35'), Howley (45+1'), Stanger (90+5')
Milne (74')
O'Reilly (29'), Crawford (41'), McBeth (44')
rhs 2.0
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