Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.