Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
