Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 56.9%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
