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World Cup

El Salvador national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Jun 11, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Cuscatlan
Suriname national football team

El Salvador
1 - 1
Suriname

Gil (32')
Cruz (36'), Cartagena (47'), Landaverde (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lonwijk (19')
Margaret (8'), Lonwijk (28'), Turfkruier (45+7'), van der Kust (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between El Salvador and Suriname, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Guatemala
Sunday, June 1 at 1am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Anguilla vs. El Salvador
Saturday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Suriname

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Canada 3-0 Suriname
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Suriname vs. Puerto Rico
Saturday, June 7 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Suriname win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for El Salvador has a probability of 34.89% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest El Salvador win is 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.68%).

Result
El SalvadorDrawSuriname
34.89% (0.203 0.2)26.68% (0.388 0.39)38.43% (-0.597 -0.6)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-1.229 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-1.579 -1.58)53.14% (1.574 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-1.359 -1.36)74.71% (1.353 1.35)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.643 -0.64)29.03% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (-0.801 -0.8)64.94% (0.797 0.8)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-1.064 -1.06)26.93% (1.06 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-1.414 -1.41)62.26% (1.409 1.41)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 34.89%
    Suriname 38.42%
    Draw 26.67%
El SalvadorDrawSuriname
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.421 0.42)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.89%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.473 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.318 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.42%